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People Think AI Will Use Nearly 20% of World Energy. Forecasts Say Under 1%

Estimated vs modeled AI share of global energy three years from now. Bain Sustainable AI Survey, Consumer Lab ESG Survey, and Intersect model

People Think AI Will Use Nearly 20% of World Energy. Forecasts Say Under 1%

People Think AI Will Use Nearly 20% of World Energy. Forecasts Say Under 1%
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Why it matters: Bain’s Intersect model forecasts AI will consume 0.7% of global energy in three years, but surveyed executives estimate about 11%—nearly 16× higher—and consumers average 19%, almost 27× the modeled share, revealing a massive perception gap on AI’s energy footprint.

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Source
Bain & Company
Unit
% of global energy (3yr)
Data as of
September 11, 2026
Scope
Bain Sustainable AI Survey, Consumer Lab ESG Survey, and Intersect model